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VALUCAST BUYS

AHEAD OF THE CURVE

The 40 best prospect buys by signal, not reputation · SEPTEMBER 13, 2026

Source: ValuCast buy signal. Ranks prospects by model strength, momentum, buy window, and runway.

buy score = model strength + momentum + buy window + runway. Window closes at MLB debut; fresh signings surface once they have enough data.

Top 40 shown of 214 qualified · 3,214-prospect pool · 65 active-MLB call-ups excluded · the signal qualifies ~7% of the pool by design.

Form curves span up to 30 days within the current scoring era (re-based June 22); "All" shows the last 14 days. The Movers board measures change over its own shorter window; different window, different question.

1
Arjun Nimmala LAA · SS · AA · 20y Everyday middle-order regular; the walks give him a useful floor through a power dip; the power and patience reinforce each other.
68.7 Valucast Score Momentum
2
Wyatt Sanford PIT · SS · A+ · 20y The sample covers 363 PA in High-A and Single-A, so confidence is low.
67.9 Still In The Buy Window
3
Andrew Fischer MIL · 3B · AA · 22y Too many at-bats still end without contact.
66.4 Valucast Score Momentum
4
Sebastian Dos Santos STL · SS · A · 18y Lower-order regular ceiling; the current floor is a bench bat without more damage; he forces pitchers into the zone and takes the free pass.
66.0 Young Runway
5
Josuar Gonzalez SFG · SS · A · 18y He is 18 in Single-A over 153 PA, so confidence is low; he works deep counts and gets on base.
64.2 Young Runway
6
Jesús Made MIL · SS · AA · 19y He consistently finishes at-bats with contact; the open question is damage.
63.9 Valucast Score Momentum
7
Edward Florentino PIT · CF · A+ · 19y He is 19 in High-A and Single-A over 475 PA, so confidence is low; the power and patience reinforce each other.
62.5 Still In The Buy Window
8
Taitn Gray TBR · 1B · A · 18y No single result is loud enough to carry the bat through regression elsewhere; he controls at-bats and does damage without leaning on one result.
61.6 Young Runway
9
Brady Ebel MIL · SS · A+ · 18y The risk is that better pitching reduces the walks without another loud offensive result replacing them.
61.6 Young Runway
10
Juneiker Caceres CLE · RF · A+ · 18y He barely strikes out; the open question is damage against better pitching.
61.1 Young Runway
11
David Shields KC · P · A+ · 19y The control supports a starter look; the lack of misses keeps the bullpen in play; the strike throwing is the reason to keep him on a starter track.
60.5 Still In The Buy Window
12
Leo De Vries ATH · SS · AA · 19y The risk is a broad but ordinary offensive line without one result that forces an everyday role; he is contributing across contact, walks and damage rather t...
60.2 Still In The Buy Window
13
Ethan Holliday COL · SS · A · 19y Lean everyday power bat, but the miss rate keeps a bench outcome in play; the damage is the carrying tool.
59.8 Still In The Buy Window
14
Josh Adamczewski MIL · LF · AA · 21y The sample covers 490 PA in Double-A and High-A, so confidence is moderate; he forces pitchers into the zone and takes the free pass.
59.6 Still In The Buy Window
15
Eli Willits WSN · SS · AA · 18y He forces pitchers into the zone and takes the free pass; the line does not show a second offensive strength at the same level.
59.6 Young Runway
17
Boston Bateman BAL · P · A+ · 20y Starter upside is still alive, but the current command creates real bullpen risk; the bat-missing is starter-caliber.
59.4 Still In The Buy Window
18
Sebastian Walcott TEX · DH · AA · 20y The bat has a clear source of damage; the line does not show a second offensive strength to protect the power.
59.2 Risk Priced
19
Nathan Flewelling TBR · C · A+ · 19y Everyday power ceiling, with a volatile bench-bat floor until the contact improves; there is enough power to keep pitchers honest.
58.9 Still In The Buy Window
20
Alex Clemmey WSN · P · AA · 20y There's no repeatable way to retire hitters in the line yet; the failure point is the strikeout-to-walk result, which does not support a firm starter project...
58.4 Still In The Buy Window
21
Chase Harlan LAD · 3B · A+ · 19y No single result is loud enough to carry the bat through regression elsewhere; he is contributing across contact, walks and damage rather than leaning on one...
58.3 Still In The Buy Window
22
JoJo Parker TOR · SS · A+ · 19y The walks create an everyday path, but the present outcome is a reserve; he forces pitchers into the zone and takes the free pass.
58.1 Still In The Buy Window
23
Rainiel Rodriguez STL · C · AA · 19y He is 19 in Double-A and High-A over 530 PA, so confidence is moderate.
57.6 Young Runway
24
Zyhir Hope DET · RF · AA · 21y Better pitching can still beat him with empty swings.
57.5 Still In The Buy Window
25
Braylon Payne MIL · CF · AA · 19y Everyday middle-order ceiling; the current contact points to a low-average bench-power floor; he punishes mistakes often enough to carry the bat.
57.4 Still In The Buy Window
26
Cam Caminiti ATL · P · AA · 19y Nothing in the profile gives him a dependable way through a lineup yet; neither misses nor strikes separate in the strikeout-to-walk result.
57.3 Still In The Buy Window
27
Emil Morales LAD · SS · A+ · 19y The contact points to a reserve today, but the damage leaves an everyday path open; he punishes mistakes when he gets the barrel there.
56.8 Still In The Buy Window
28
Jefferson Rojas NYM · 3B · AA · 21y Everyday contact regular; high-contact bench floor; he barely strikes out.
56.4 Still In The Buy Window
29
Seth Hernandez PIT · P · A+ · 20y He misses enough bats to keep a rotation outcome open; he still gives away too many counts.
56.3 Young Runway
30
Yhoiker Fajardo STL · P · AA · 19y He is 19 in Double-A and High-A over 101.3 IP, so confidence is moderate; he misses enough bats to keep a rotation outcome open.
56.2 Still In The Buy Window
31
Axiel Plaz PIT · C · A+ · 20y This reads as a broad-based regular outcome, with enough across-the-board value to retain a reserve floor; he controls at-bats and does damage without leanin...
56.2 Young Runway
32
Yolfran Castillo TEX · SS · A+ · 19y Pitchers have little reason to avoid the zone.
55.8 Young Runway
33
Braylon Doughty CLE · P · AA · 20y He is 20 in Double-A and High-A over 104.4 IP, so confidence is moderate.
55.4 Still In The Buy Window
34
Theo Gillen TBR · RF · AA · 20y He is 20 in Double-A and High-A over 529 PA, so confidence is moderate; the power and patience reinforce each other.
55.4 Still In The Buy Window
35
Jesús Báez STL · SS · AA · 21y The offensive value remains tied closely to the hit tool because he does not take many free passes.
55.3 Still In The Buy Window
36
Justin Gonzales BOS · RF · AA · 19y The walks create an everyday path, but the present outcome is a reserve; he forces pitchers into the zone and takes the free pass.
55.3 Still In The Buy Window
37
Charles Davalan LAD · CF · A+ · 22y The open question is damage.
55.2 Still In The Buy Window
38
Christian Zazueta LAD · P · AA · 21y The sample covers 103.7 IP in Double-A and High-A, so confidence is moderate.
55.2 Still In The Buy Window
39
Joseph Dzierwa BAL · P · AA · 22y The sample covers 131 IP in Double-A and High-A, so confidence is moderate; he limits free passes and consistently forces hitters to earn contact.
55.1 Still In The Buy Window
40
Aroon Escobar PHI · 2B · AA · 21y The current damage limits the profile's impact.
55.1 Valucast Score Momentum
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VALUCAST Ahead of the Curve Top 40 prospect buys by signal, not reputation · SEPTEMBER 13, 2026 ValuCast buy signal
#6 64 J. Made MIL · SS
#7 62 E. Florentino PIT · CF
#8 62 T. Gray TBR · 1B
#9 62 B. Ebel MIL · SS
#10 61 J. Caceres CLE · RF
#11 60 D. Shields KC · P
#12 60 L. De Vries ATH · SS
#13 60 E. Holliday COL · SS
#14 60 J. Adamczewski MIL · LF
#15 60 E. Willits WSN · SS
#16 60 S. Delzine BOS · P
#17 59 B. Bateman BAL · P
#18 59 S. Walcott TEX · DH
#19 59 N. Flewelling TBR · C
#20 58 A. Clemmey WSN · P
#21 58 C. Harlan LAD · 3B
#22 58 J. Parker TOR · SS
#23 58 R. Rodriguez STL · C
#24 58 Z. Hope DET · RF
#25 57 B. Payne MIL · CF
#26 57 C. Caminiti ATL · P
#27 57 E. Morales LAD · SS
#28 56 J. Rojas NYM · 3B
#29 56 S. Hernandez PIT · P
#30 56 Y. Fajardo STL · P
#31 56 A. Plaz PIT · C
#32 56 Y. Castillo TEX · SS
#33 55 B. Doughty CLE · P
#34 55 T. Gillen TBR · RF
#35 55 J. Báez STL · SS
#36 55 J. Gonzales BOS · RF
#37 55 C. Davalan LAD · CF
#38 55 C. Zazueta LAD · P
#39 55 J. Dzierwa BAL · P
#40 55 A. Escobar PHI · 2B
valucast.app ValuCast buy signal · buy score = model strength + momentum + buy window + runway

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