ValuCast

ValuCast Value

The format-specific fantasy decision score shown on a 0-100 scale. Higher is better within the displayed board. MLB and prospect values are aligned at the top, but mixed-player trades are comparable in ballpark rather than to the decimal.

Formula: skill evidence + opportunity + league-format translation

Worked example (2026-07-26): On the July 26 committed board, Franklin Arias carried a 57.2 ValuCast Value.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Skill, Opportunity, Confidence, Value Band

ValuCast Rank

A player's position after sorting the current ValuCast board. It is an ordering, not a probability or scouting grade.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Dynasty Value, Public Consensus

Public Consensus

The aggregate median rank across the available public boards, shown with the number of boards contributing. It is comparison context only and does not generate ValuCast rank or value.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Valucast Rank, Ahead Of The Curve

Ahead of the Curve

A tracked call where ValuCast ranks a player materially ahead of the aggregate public consensus. The Ledger records what happened next.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Public Consensus, Aotc Verdict States

Percentile

A quality-direction rank inside the stated qualified pool. A 90th-percentile result means the metric graded better than about 90% of that pool; lower-is-better statistics are reversed before ranking.

Origin: adopted from public statistics

See also: Confidence

Confidence

How stable the displayed read is given sample size, coverage, and uncertainty. It is not the probability that the player succeeds.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Percentile, Estimate

Skill

What the trusted expected or projected rate evidence supports, kept separate from playing time and role.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Opportunity, Dynasty Value

Opportunity

Expected plate appearances or innings plus role and availability. Opportunity can change fantasy value without changing the underlying skill read.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Skill, Dynasty Value

Category Fit

A league-settings view that reorders the visible pool using the selected categories. It does not change the public ValuCast Value.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Fantasy Scoring Categories, League Context

ETA

Estimated MLB arrival. A year is player-specific when available; otherwise the display uses a shared level-based window, not a player-specific forecast.

Origin: adopted from public baseball terminology

See also: Opportunity, Estimate

League context

The teams, roster depth, scoring preset, prospect slots, and competitive window supplied for a league-aware decision. Only adjustments the tool explicitly says are calibrated change the totals.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Category Fit, Auction Value, Trade Margin

Trade verdict

The difference between the value received and value given. A positive margin favors the return side; a margin inside the value band is called even.

Formula: value received - value given

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Value Band, League Context

Value band

The uncertainty tolerance used by The Second Opinion. Margins inside roughly nine points per player are treated as a coin flip, not a win.

Formula: about ±9 × players on the larger side

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Trade Margin, Dynasty Value

Auction value

A replacement-adjusted dollar allocation for the supplied teams, budget, and roster depth. Now $ isolates current-season projected production.

Origin: adopted from fantasy-baseball valuation

See also: League Context, Dynasty Value

Fantasy scoring categories

The statistics a league counts. ValuCast applies the selected hitting and pitching categories when that format has a validated translation.

Origin: adopted from fantasy-baseball scoring

See also: Category Fit, League Context

Estimate

A number inferred from available evidence rather than measured directly. ValuCast labels estimates with “est.” and explains their source.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Missing Data, Confidence

Missing data

A dash or empty field means the source does not support a trustworthy number. ValuCast leaves it missing rather than inventing an estimate.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Estimate

Receipts lead time

The elapsed days between a dated ValuCast call and the later comparison event recorded by Call-Up Receipts.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Ahead Of The Curve

Movers score delta

The change in a player's ValuCast score over the selected archived window. Small moves below the published threshold are omitted.

Formula: current score - archived score

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Dynasty Value

Forward gate

A held-out live check that compares a challenger projection with the incumbent after a fixed freeze date. It blocks promotion when the evidence does not clear the registered standard.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Confidence

AOTC verdict states

The Ledger's recorded outcomes: the field moved toward ValuCast, moved away, ValuCast backed off, no decisive move occurred, or the player left the tracked universe through promotion or graduation.

Origin: original to ValuCast

See also: Ahead Of The Curve

AVG

Hits divided by official at-bats.

Formula: H ÷ AB

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Obp, Slg

OBP

How often a hitter reaches base through a hit, walk, or hit-by-pitch, with sacrifice flies included in the denominator.

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Avg, Ops

SLG

Total bases divided by at-bats; extra-base hits count more than singles.

Formula: TB ÷ AB

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Iso, Ops

OPS

On-base percentage plus slugging percentage.

Formula: OBP + SLG

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Obp, Slg

ISO

Isolated power: extra bases per at-bat after removing singles from slugging.

Formula: SLG - AVG

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Slg

K%

Strikeouts divided by plate appearances for hitters.

Formula: K ÷ PA

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Bb Percent

BB%

Walks divided by plate appearances.

Formula: BB ÷ PA

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: K Percent, K Minus Bb Percent

ERA

Earned runs allowed per nine innings.

Formula: ER × 9 ÷ IP

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Whip

WHIP

Walks plus hits allowed per inning pitched.

Formula: (BB + H) ÷ IP

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Era, Bb Per Nine

K/9

Strikeouts per nine innings pitched.

Formula: K × 9 ÷ IP

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: Bb Per Nine, K Minus Bb Percent

BB/9

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched.

Formula: BB × 9 ÷ IP

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: K Per Nine, Whip

K-BB%

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage; a compact pitcher dominance and command measure.

Formula: K% - BB%

Origin: adopted from public baseball statistics

See also: K Per Nine, Bb Per Nine

Swing%

The share of pitches at which the hitter swings.

Formula: swings ÷ pitches

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Whiff Percent, Swstr Percent

Whiff%

The share of swings that miss.

Formula: whiffs ÷ swings

Worked example (2026-07-10): One committed High-A sample recorded a 12.7% Whiff% across 728 tracked pitches.

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Swing Percent, Swstr Percent

SwStr%

The share of all pitches that produce a swinging strike.

Formula: whiffs ÷ pitches

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Swing Percent, Whiff Percent

Chase%

The share of pitches outside the strike zone at which the hitter swings. Samples using pixel calibration are labeled est.

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Estimate, Zone Percent

Z-Swing%

The share of pitches inside the strike zone at which the hitter swings. Samples using pixel calibration are labeled est.

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Estimate, Zone Percent

Z-Contact%

The share of swings at pitches inside the strike zone that make contact. Samples using pixel calibration are labeled est.

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Estimate, Whiff Percent

Zone%

The share of pitches classified inside the strike zone. Samples using pixel calibration are labeled est.

Worked example (2026-07-10): The committed plate-discipline artifact records whether each level sample used calibrated zone locations.

Origin: adopted from public plate-discipline statistics

See also: Estimate, Chase Percent, Z Swing Percent